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World Cup semifinal cities draw late travel surge in the US

Bank, hotel and travel data show bookings and spending rising as fans follow teams into the World Cup’s final week.

Sarah Jenkins

By Sarah Jenkins · Chief Macro Economics Correspondent

· 3 min read

World Cup semifinal cities draw late travel surge in the US
Photo: CNBC

Travel demand in US World Cup host cities is strengthening in the tournament’s closing stages, with spending, hotel revenue and flight bookings rising as fans make late decisions around semifinal matchups. The late surge is giving restaurants, bars, hotels and short-term rental operators a larger event-driven lift than advance booking patterns had suggested.

France is due to play Spain in Dallas on Tuesday, while England faces Argentina in Atlanta on Wednesday. As the number of remaining teams has narrowed, travel data show supporters moving quickly toward the cities hosting the highest-stakes matches.

Bank of America Institute said every US host city has recorded an economic benefit from soccer-related travel. Its analysis of Bank of America credit and debit card activity found in-person spending in host cities was 5% higher than a year earlier from June 10 to July 5, with Kansas City posting the strongest gain.

David Tinsley, senior economist at Bank of America Institute, said match-related activity was visible in local spending patterns, with restaurants and bars among the strongest categories as fans gathered to watch and attend games.

The bank’s figures cover spending on Bank of America cards by US households. They do not capture cash, checks, international tourist spending or corporate-card transactions, which means total host-city activity could be larger than the measured increase.

Hotels benefit from rate strength

Hotel data point to a sharper effect in selected markets. CoStar, the real estate and hospitality data firm, said Kansas City recorded the largest weekly hotel performance increase among host markets, with revenue per available room up nearly 50%. Philadelphia’s weekend revenue per available room rose more than 74% when its World Cup match overlapped with Fourth of July events and America 250 celebrations.

Revenue per available room, or RevPAR, combines occupancy and average daily room rates. The measure can rise even when hotels are not full if operators are able to charge higher prices for available rooms.

That distinction has shaped the World Cup hotel story. CoStar said occupancy in US host-city hotels fell almost 3% from a year earlier during the final week of the group stage, suggesting some business and leisure travelers changed plans. Even so, host-city hotels charged rates 21% above year-earlier levels in the earlier phase of the tournament.

CoStar said demand improved as the tournament entered the knockout stage. From June 28 to July 4, demand rose 2.4% from a year earlier and RevPAR increased 23%, even though the World Cup schedule had 50% fewer matches than the previous week.

Argentina fans drive real-time bookings

Short-term rental demand also rose around later-stage matches, according to AirDNA. Braham Gallagher, AirDNA’s director of economic forecasting, said some fans appeared to wait until they knew which teams would play before booking trips.

RateGain Travel Technologies founder Bhanu Chopra, creator of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Market Pulse Index, said Argentina’s supporters have been especially responsive to match results. According to RateGain data cited by Chopra, flight bookings from Argentina have risen nearly 46% year over year since the tournament began.

Bookings from Argentina to Atlanta, where Argentina played a round-of-16 match and is scheduled to play its semifinal, have more than doubled, rising nearly 108%, Chopra said. Overall bookings to World Cup host cities are up nearly 4% from a year earlier, while flight reservations increased nearly 75% from the prior week after the opening match, according to the same data.

RateGain’s figures also show uncertainty around the final. Chopra said Argentina-to-New York/New Jersey bookings for the final are still down about 15% year over year, while Argentina-to-Miami bookings, linked to the third-place match, are up nearly 17%. He said the pattern suggests some fans are waiting for the semifinal result before committing to final-weekend travel.

Ticket pricing has added another variable. After the US and Mexico exited the tournament, resale prices for several quarterfinal matches declined sharply. FIFA still had nearly 1,200 mid-tier tickets for the final available late last week at $7,380 each.

This story draws on original reporting from CNBC.

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