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Economics

US weekly jobless claims rise to 208,000 as four-week average falls

Initial claims increased by 8,000 in the week ended Jan. 3, while the four-week average fell to its lowest level since April 2024.

David L. Chen

By David L. Chen · Senior Columnist

· 2 min read

US weekly jobless claims rise to 208,000 as four-week average falls
Photo: Calculated Risk

U.S. initial unemployment claims rose to a seasonally adjusted 208,000 in the week ended Jan. 3, up 8,000 from the prior week’s revised level, the Department of Labor reported. The increase was slightly above the consensus estimate, according to Calculated Risk, while the four-week average declined to its lowest point since late April 2024.

The Labor Department revised the previous week’s claims level to 200,000 from 199,000, adding 1,000 to the earlier reading. The weekly series is reported on an advance basis and is often revised as states update filings and processing data.

The four-week moving average fell to 211,750, a decrease of 7,250 from the prior week’s revised average, the department said. The previous average was revised to 219,000 from 218,750. The latest four-week figure was the lowest since April 27, 2024, when the average stood at 210,250, according to the Labor Department report cited by Calculated Risk.

Initial claims track new filings for unemployment insurance and are among the timeliest indicators of labor-market conditions. The seasonally adjusted measure is designed to make weekly data more comparable across periods that can be affected by holidays, school schedules, weather and other recurring calendar effects.

The four-week average is watched because individual weekly readings can move for technical or seasonal reasons. By averaging the most recent four observations, the measure gives a steadier view of claims activity than a single week’s report, while still reflecting near-term changes in filings.

Calculated Risk noted that a chart of the claims series shows the four-week average back to 1971, with the latest dashed line marking the current average of 211,750. The data leave the headline weekly number higher than the revised prior reading, while the smoothed measure moved lower over the same period.

The Labor Department’s report did not, in the excerpt cited by Calculated Risk, provide market reaction or broader employment conclusions. Investors and policymakers typically read weekly claims alongside monthly payrolls, unemployment, wage and participation data before drawing broader judgments about labor demand.

This story draws on original reporting from Calculated Risk.

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